RCD Carabanchel vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
ALC
31%
25%
44%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
36%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEG
27%
24%
50%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CDM
2 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAL
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ADP
1 - 0
ARA
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ARA
5 - 1
PNT
20%
23%
57%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
ARA
50%
25%
25%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ALC
5 - 0
ARA
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
3 - 2
ALA
23%
24%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |