RCD Carabanchel vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
50.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1996 |
LEG
2 - 0
CAR
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 68 | 41 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
COL
1 - 2
CAR
84%
12%
4%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
CAR
1 - 5
SPB
20%
28%
52%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 1996 |
CAR
1 - 2
LEG
24%
27%
50%
|
28 | 68 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
RCF
0 - 0
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ARA
2 - 1
ROB
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
FUE
2 - 0
ARA
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
ARA
1 - 1
AVI
45%
28%
28%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
CDO
1 - 0
ARA
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
ARA
1 - 1
STA
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |