RCD Carabanchel vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
TAL
3 - 1
CAR
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
CAR
6 - 1
ALC
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
SEG
1 - 0
CAR
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
CAR
0 - 0
GDE
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
AVI
3 - 1
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
ARA
2 - 2
FEM
45%
25%
31%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
GDE
1 - 1
ARA
65%
19%
15%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
ARA
0 - 1
UBC
40%
26%
34%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
ARA
1 - 2
TAL
21%
22%
56%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
AVI
6 - 0
ARA
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |