RCD Carabanchel vs Rayo Vallecano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
62.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+147%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
TRJ
3 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 2
PEG
21%
26%
54%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ORC
3 - 3
CAR
65%
22%
14%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 4
SFN
24%
28%
48%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
MST
2 - 0
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
RVB
1 - 1
LEG
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
LRZ
2 - 0
RVB
35%
28%
37%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
RVB
1 - 1
NAV
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
RVB
4 - 1
TRJ
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
PEG
1 - 0
RVB
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |