RCD Carabanchel vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
LEG
2 - 0
CAR
68%
21%
11%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
CAR
1 - 2
CIE
61%
22%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
ACF
2 - 0
CAR
64%
23%
13%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
CAR
2 - 1
TAL
59%
24%
17%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
ALC
0 - 0
CAR
69%
20%
11%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
NUM
2 - 0
SAL
70%
20%
11%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
MAN
0 - 1
NUM
59%
25%
17%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
NUM
2 - 0
ARG
72%
19%
9%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
SFN
2 - 1
NUM
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
NUM
2 - 1
CDT
62%
23%
16%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |