Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-2
RCD Carabanchel vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
MAN
1 - 1
CAR
55%
27%
18%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
CAR
1 - 0
ACF
88%
9%
3%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
CAR
1 - 1
ZAM
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
CLH
2 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
CAR
2 - 1
RMC
37%
31%
32%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
AMA
3 - 2
JER
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
JER
0 - 3
CPC
47%
30%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
JER
1 - 1
ALM
37%
33%
30%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
XER
4 - 2
JER
75%
18%
8%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
CPC
2 - 0
JER
63%
24%
13%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |