RCD Carabanchel vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
TCF
2 - 0
CAR
49%
27%
25%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
CAR
1 - 0
CDS
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
CIE
1 - 2
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
CAR
3 - 1
ARG
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
CAR
2 - 1
PLA
66%
21%
14%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
SFN
1 - 0
ARG
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
MAN
3 - 0
SFN
57%
25%
18%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
SFN
1 - 1
ALC
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
DBN
3 - 0
SFN
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
SDT
1 - 1
SFN
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |