RCD Carabanchel vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
INT
2 - 2
CAR
28%
27%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
ADA
49%
26%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
STA
0 - 2
CAR
13%
22%
65%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
ATM
49%
25%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SFN
3 - 1
CAR
26%
27%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 0
JSB
75%
15%
9%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
CFG
1 - 2
ARA
13%
20%
67%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 4
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAN
1 - 1
ARA
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 1
MOR
75%
16%
10%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |