RCD Carabanchel vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
GET
0 - 0
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
CAR
1 - 2
MAA
36%
27%
37%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
RMC
4 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
CAR
1 - 2
PEG
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
COS
4 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
ALC
0 - 1
NAV
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ARA
2 - 4
ALC
65%
21%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
ALC
1 - 2
ATC
85%
11%
4%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
STA
1 - 0
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
GET
1 - 3
ALC
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |