RCD Carabanchel B vs Union Carrascal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.6%
9.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MAA
2 - 2
CAR
55%
19%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
CEP
70%
15%
15%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LMJ
1 - 3
CAR
13%
17%
70%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CAR
8 - 1
ESC
82%
11%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALF
2 - 5
CAR
27%
19%
54%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
UCA
2 - 1
APB
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
4 - 2
UCA
67%
16%
16%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
UCA
3 - 1
PIQ
41%
22%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
UCA
5 - 6
ATL
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
NCD
1 - 6
UCA
24%
20%
56%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |