Strasbourg II vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
13º
13º
32
6º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 26.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 0
STR
59%
22%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
STR
1 - 3
TRO
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
THL
2 - 0
STR
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
STR
2 - 4
NAN
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
REI
1 - 0
STR
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
MEZ
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
THA
2 - 1
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MET
0 - 1
SAR
57%
20%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MET
0 - 1
MET
22%
21%
57%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MET
1 - 2
OBE
75%
15%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |