Lons vs Jura Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
78.9%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
RCL
1 - 2
ANN
8%
15%
77%
|
9 | 52 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
AVI
1 - 1
RCL
79%
14%
8%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Jura Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
HYE
2 - 2
JUR
30%
27%
44%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
JUR
1 - 1
CSL
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 4
JUR
60%
23%
18%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
JUR
1 - 1
OLY
31%
25%
45%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MGG
1 - 0
JUR
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |