RC Celta U19 B vs UD Ourense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+206%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
1º
2º
2º
39
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 86 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
64% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
64% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
64% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC Celta U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
URA
1 - 1
CEL
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
10 - 0
BOI
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
CEL
12%
16%
71%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CEL
6 - 0
PAB
78%
13%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PON
1 - 3
CEL
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD Ourense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
OUR
5 - 2
BER
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
COR
3 - 1
OUR
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
URA
4 - 4
OUR
27%
22%
50%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OUR
2 - 2
BOI
75%
15%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
OUR
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |