Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 4-2
RB Leipzig vs Universitatea Craiova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
RBL
0 - 3
HUR
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
HÄC
1 - 1
RBL
31%
24%
45%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
RBL
4 - 0
HÄC
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
MEU
2 - 2
RBL
5%
13%
82%
|
86 | 44 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
SVG
0 - 7
RBL
3%
10%
87%
|
86 | 24 | 62 | 0 |
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
CSU
2 - 2
BOT
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SSG
1 - 0
CSU
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
CSU
0 - 0
CSM
58%
23%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
CSU
0 - 1
CLU
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
CSU
2 - 3
UFA
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |