Segunda B Play-Offs Promotion Play Off Final
Global 2-1
Rayo Vallecano vs Zamora CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ZAM
0 - 1
RAY
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
RAY
1 - 0
BEN
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2008 |
BEN
1 - 1
RAY
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
RAY
2 - 0
LEG
66%
21%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 2
RAY
22%
27%
51%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Zamora CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ZAM
0 - 1
RAY
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
CDL
1 - 2
ZAM
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2008 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CDL
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
LOG
0 - 0
ZAM
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ZAM
2 - 3
CDG
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |