Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
RAY
1 - 0
MLL
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
CDB
2 - 2
RAY
39%
29%
32%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1995 |
SPO
1 - 1
RAY
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
RAY
2 - 0
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
HER
3 - 1
RAY
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
ALB
1 - 2
SPO
58%
22%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
SPO
2 - 2
LOG
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1995 |
SPO
1 - 1
RAY
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
RMA
4 - 0
SPO
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1995 |
SPO
1 - 1
BET
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |