Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 1-5
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
HER
1 - 3
RAY
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
RAY
3 - 2
RCF
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
UPL
1 - 1
RAY
35%
31%
34%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1972 |
RAY
5 - 1
MAL
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
RAY
1 - 0
UES
54%
28%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
SPO
2 - 0
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
FCB
1 - 0
SPO
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
SPO
4 - 0
VCF
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
ATH
3 - 1
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
SPO
3 - 0
SAB
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |