Rayo Vallecano vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
CDT
2 - 0
RAY
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
NUM
0 - 2
RAY
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
RAY
1 - 1
CDO
71%
19%
11%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
MLL
2 - 0
RAY
60%
23%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
RAY
1 - 0
CDB
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
RMC
0 - 0
SLA
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
PAL
2 - 1
RMC
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1994 |
RMC
2 - 2
AMA
67%
21%
13%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1994 |
FCB
4 - 1
RMC
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
RMC
0 - 2
LLE
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |