Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
ATM
1 - 3
RAY
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
BET
3 - 0
RAY
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
RAY
2 - 1
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
DEP
1 - 1
RAY
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
RAY
3 - 0
CEL
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
OVI
1 - 1
BET
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
HER
1 - 1
OVI
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
OVI
0 - 1
DEP
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
CEL
3 - 1
OVI
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
OVI
2 - 3
RMA
31%
25%
45%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |