Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
76%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LEV
3 - 5
RAY
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RAY
2 - 0
GET
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ZAR
1 - 2
RAY
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RAY
2 - 3
ATH
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 1
MLL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 1
RMA
11%
19%
70%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
RMA
4 - 0
RAC
94%
5%
2%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RMA
4 - 2
LEV
94%
5%
2%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
GET
0 - 1
RMA
8%
17%
75%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RMA
3 - 1
ZAR
94%
5%
1%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | +1 |