Rayo Vallecano vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
CDB
2 - 2
RAY
67%
19%
15%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
RAY
4 - 1
VAL
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
CAD
3 - 1
RAY
66%
19%
16%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
RAY
2 - 1
CDT
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
TER
2 - 1
RAY
69%
18%
14%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
RJA
7 - 1
CAA
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
MUR
3 - 1
RJA
56%
22%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
RJA
1 - 2
REC
77%
14%
9%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
CEU
2 - 1
RJA
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
RJA
0 - 1
CDB
70%
17%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |