Rayo Vallecano vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2001 |
MLL
4 - 0
RAY
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
RAY
0 - 1
RMA
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
FCB
5 - 1
RAY
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
RAY
1 - 1
DEP
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
RAC
1 - 1
RAY
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2001 |
NUM
2 - 1
ESP
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
CEL
1 - 1
NUM
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
NUM
1 - 0
OSA
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
ZAR
3 - 1
NUM
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
NUM
1 - 3
VIL
42%
25%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |