Rayo Vallecano vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
RMA
0 - 0
RAY
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
RAY
4 - 1
VAD
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
BET
1 - 1
RAY
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
RAY
0 - 1
ALA
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
ESP
5 - 1
RAY
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
NUM
3 - 0
ATM
30%
25%
46%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
SEV
4 - 0
NUM
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
NUM
1 - 1
OVI
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
FCB
4 - 0
NUM
86%
10%
5%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
NUM
1 - 2
VCF
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |