Rayo Vallecano vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
RAY
14%
23%
64%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
RAY
4 - 1
OVI
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FUE
1 - 2
RAY
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
RAY
1 - 1
LEG
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
SAB
2 - 0
RAY
14%
23%
62%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 1
CAR
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 1
LUG
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 1
MIR
29%
27%
45%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 0
LUG
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 2
ZAR
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |