Rayo Vallecano vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
UCA
0 - 1
RAY
25%
27%
49%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
RAY
1 - 1
CDT
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 3
RAY
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
NUM
0 - 0
RAY
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
RAY
2 - 0
OVI
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 1
OVI
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CAD
1 - 1
LUG
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
REU
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GET
2 - 0
LUG
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 1
MIR
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |