Rayo Vallecano vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
PUE
1 - 1
RAY
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
RAY
2 - 0
ALC
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
SDI
2 - 1
RAY
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
RAY
4 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
VAD
6 - 1
RAY
58%
23%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
JER
1 - 0
CAD
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
ONT
1 - 0
JER
62%
20%
19%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
JER
0 - 1
MUR
33%
29%
38%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
ELC
6 - 1
JER
57%
21%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
JER
2 - 1
BUR
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |