Rayo Vallecano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
MLL
3 - 1
RAY
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2010 |
RAY
2 - 1
MLL
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
RAY
0 - 0
LEV
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
SLA
0 - 1
RAY
52%
25%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
RAY
4 - 1
NUM
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
OSA
1 - 0
HER
54%
26%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
HER
2 - 0
CAR
78%
15%
7%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2010 |
HER
2 - 1
OSA
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 2
HER
29%
29%
43%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
HER
2 - 0
REC
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |