Rayo Vallecano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 1
RAY
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ZAR
2 - 3
RAY
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
RAY
1 - 1
UDL
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
RSO
1 - 1
RAY
67%
22%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
RAY
0 - 0
LEV
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
CCF
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
HER
2 - 2
SLA
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ALB
0 - 3
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
HER
1 - 2
ALI
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 1
HER
55%
23%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |