Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-2
Rayo Vallecano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
RAY
2 - 0
DEP
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
SAB
1 - 0
RAY
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1974 |
HER
0 - 1
RAY
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
RAY
1 - 0
HER
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
CAD
1 - 1
RAY
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
CCF
3 - 1
HER
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
HER
3 - 1
BAR
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1974 |
HER
0 - 1
RAY
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
RAY
1 - 0
HER
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
HER
1 - 1
MLL
65%
23%
12%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |