Rayo Vallecano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
CDB
0 - 1
RAY
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
MUR
1 - 0
RAY
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
RAY
3 - 1
CDT
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
RAY
3 - 0
CEU
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
RSO
2 - 0
RAY
84%
10%
6%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
HER
2 - 0
CEU
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
HER
1 - 0
LEV
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
PUE
1 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
HER
2 - 1
REC
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
HER
1 - 0
BAD
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |