Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
RSI
2 - 2
RAY
13%
23%
64%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 1
RAY
15%
25%
60%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
RAY
2 - 0
UDL
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
PPJ
1 - 1
RAY
20%
25%
55%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
RAY
0 - 2
ATB
63%
23%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
CEL
2 - 2
MST
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
CEL
0 - 1
FUE
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
PON
3 - 1
CEL
71%
17%
11%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
CEL
3 - 0
MEL
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
CEL
2 - 2
CDO
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |