Rayo Vallecano vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
8.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
AVI
7 - 3
RAY
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
RAY
3 - 0
ORI
88%
7%
4%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
CIE
3 - 0
RAY
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
RAY
2 - 1
TAL
86%
8%
6%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
RAY
5 - 1
CDB
90%
7%
4%
|
66 | 25 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
CDT
4 - 1
TOM
73%
14%
12%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
CNC
2 - 3
CDT
55%
18%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
CDT
5 - 0
JAV
77%
13%
11%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
VIL
0 - 0
CDT
38%
20%
42%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
CDT
3 - 2
MAN
76%
13%
11%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |