Rayo Vallecano vs Femsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.9%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
2.5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
GUA
3 - 4
RAY
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
RAY
7 - 1
AVI
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
GUA
0 - 1
RAY
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
RAY
5 - 1
LEG
90%
8%
2%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
SBA
2 - 2
RAY
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Femsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
FEM
3 - 1
SBA
68%
18%
15%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
FEM
3 - 1
LEG
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
CAR
5 - 3
FEM
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
SBA
1 - 1
FEM
54%
21%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
FEM
3 - 3
CDT
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |