Rayo Vallecano vs Femsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
RAY
5 - 0
ARA
89%
8%
3%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
TOR
0 - 5
RAY
27%
25%
49%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
RAY
1 - 0
SEG
72%
16%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
ALC
3 - 3
RAY
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
RAY
10 - 0
GDE
89%
9%
3%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Femsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
FEM
1 - 0
PUL
29%
24%
46%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
ARA
0 - 1
FEM
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
FEM
1 - 3
UBC
59%
21%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
TOR
1 - 0
FEM
54%
21%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
FEM
1 - 3
TAL
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |