Rayo Vallecano vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
SDI
0 - 1
RAY
83%
11%
6%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
RAY
4 - 0
RCF
32%
24%
45%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +3 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
GUA
4 - 3
RAY
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
RAY
3 - 0
UDG
80%
12%
7%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
CDT
3 - 0
RAY
68%
17%
16%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
BAR
2 - 0
LOG
76%
14%
10%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
SAB
6 - 0
BAR
68%
18%
14%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
CAU
3 - 1
BAR
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
BAR
3 - 2
OSA
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
LOG
1 - 2
BAR
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |