Rayo Vallecano vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
HUE
4 - 1
RAY
28%
30%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 1
GIM
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CDT
2 - 1
RAY
43%
26%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
RAY
4 - 2
CCF
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NUM
0 - 3
RAY
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ALC
4 - 0
SLA
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
GIR
3 - 1
ALC
58%
25%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ALC
5 - 0
UDL
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PON
1 - 2
ALC
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALB
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |