Rayo Vallecano U19 vs Mérida AD U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
5º
19
4º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MOB
1 - 2
RAY
43%
26%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
RAY
0 - 0
ATM
6%
13%
81%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
UDL
5 - 2
RAY
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 2
GET
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VAD
1 - 1
RAY
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida AD U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
MER
2 - 3
UPP
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LCV
1 - 4
MER
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
CSU
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MER
3 - 0
MOR
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 2
MER
15%
19%
66%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |