Rayo Vallecano D vs Alfa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
36.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ESC
4 - 2
RAY
42%
21%
38%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RAY
4 - 2
PAR
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BVC
2 - 0
RAY
88%
8%
4%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RAY
2 - 1
INT
65%
17%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 1
RAY
78%
13%
10%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 2
GGB
63%
18%
20%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDB
2 - 3
ALF
29%
20%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 0
CRG
30%
20%
50%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
URU
1 - 1
ALF
50%
20%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALF
0 - 4
ESC
17%
18%
65%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |