Rayo Vallecano D vs Buenavista Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
77.5%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
11%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
INT
5 - 1
RAY
71%
15%
14%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RAY
1 - 3
CDP
72%
15%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Buenavista Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BVC
8 - 0
GGB
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDB
1 - 10
BVC
5%
11%
84%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BVC
7 - 1
CRG
77%
13%
10%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
URU
0 - 4
BVC
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BVC
5 - 1
ADL
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |