Rayo Vallecano B vs Real Madrid C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
16º
12º
67
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 93% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GAL
1 - 1
RVB
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
RVB
0 - 1
LRZ
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 0
RVB
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RVB
1 - 3
URS
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 0
RVB
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RMA
1 - 1
CVI
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 5
RMA
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RMA
2 - 1
CAN
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LRZ
0 - 2
RMA
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RMA
1 - 0
POZ
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |