Rayo Vallecano B vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PBO
0 - 1
RVB
15%
21%
64%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
RVB
3 - 3
POZ
65%
21%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ADP
1 - 1
RVB
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
RVB
1 - 1
SFN
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
RVB
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 0
CVI
81%
14%
5%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
SSR
2 - 1
LUG
77%
16%
7%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 1
ADA
16%
25%
59%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +4 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
LUG
67%
22%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 2
VAL
11%
19%
70%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |