Rayo Ibense vs CF La Nucía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
70.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
18º
18º
56
1º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 38 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UTI
3 - 1
RAY
71%
18%
11%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SON
2 - 0
RAY
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RAY
2 - 3
CAS
22%
23%
56%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 0
RAY
62%
21%
18%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 2
SAG
11%
23%
67%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
CF La Nucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 4
NUC
30%
24%
47%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NUC
1 - 2
SON
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
PBL
1 - 0
NUC
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NUC
0 - 0
ATH
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
NUC
1 - 0
MNC
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |