Rayo Ibense vs Hércules B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
16º
12º
28
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 30% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 70% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
RAY
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
RAY
0 - 4
ATZ
20%
25%
55%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GAN
0 - 0
RAY
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PCF
1 - 0
RAY
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
RAY
1 - 1
CAS
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
ROD
35%
27%
37%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ELC
0 - 0
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
JOV
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
ACE
39%
27%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SIL
2 - 2
HER
47%
27%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |