Rayo Ibense vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
16º
12º
34
2º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
JOV
0 - 0
RAY
51%
25%
25%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RAY
2 - 1
ACE
19%
25%
57%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 1
RAY
59%
23%
18%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RAY
1 - 1
TCF
25%
26%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
2 - 0
RAY
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ELC
0 - 1
ROD
56%
24%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEV
1 - 0
ELC
58%
25%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
JOV
0 - 0
ELC
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ELC
0 - 0
ACE
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SIL
1 - 1
ELC
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |