Rayo Garena vs Villalbilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Garena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SDH
4 - 0
RGA
57%
19%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RGA
4 - 2
NPI
68%
16%
16%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 1
RGA
31%
21%
47%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RGA
4 - 3
FSF
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAB
2 - 0
RGA
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villalbilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CFV
4 - 2
CDI
27%
20%
52%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NAY
3 - 0
CFV
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CFV
1 - 3
CAM
52%
20%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
REM
2 - 3
CFV
44%
21%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CFV
5 - 2
STO
46%
20%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |