Rayo Ensanche vs Sporting Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Ensanche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FSF
0 - 3
REN
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
REN
5 - 6
CAB
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
BEL
3 - 4
REN
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
REN
3 - 1
VAL
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
REN
1 - 1
FSF
41%
22%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAL
5 - 1
CFV
22%
19%
59%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SDH
3 - 2
SAL
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
SAL
9 - 2
SER
44%
21%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
SIC
4 - 3
SAL
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 0
MAJ
46%
21%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |