Rayo Ensanche vs Sporting Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Ensanche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
REM
0 - 1
REN
32%
23%
45%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ESB
1 - 0
REN
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
REN
4 - 1
TAB
51%
22%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
OCB
0 - 3
REN
45%
23%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
REN
0 - 2
NPI
31%
23%
46%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 2
FSF
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 5
SAL
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
3 - 2
FAL
61%
20%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 2
SAL
23%
22%
56%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
REM
0 - 3
SAL
32%
23%
45%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |