Rayo Arriacense vs Marchamalo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Arriacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JAD
2 - 2
RAY
37%
21%
42%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RAY
2 - 1
CIF
54%
20%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SPC
3 - 1
RAY
38%
22%
41%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HOG
1 - 1
RAY
46%
21%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
RAY
4 - 1
USA
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marchamalo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
HOG
41%
22%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
USA
0 - 2
MAR
24%
21%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 0
HOR
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FON
2 - 1
MAR
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
GUA
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |