Coppa Italia Serie D Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Ravenna FC vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ravenna FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
RAV
4 - 0
IMO
73%
19%
8%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ASD
1 - 2
RAV
10%
21%
69%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
RAV
1 - 0
PIS
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TUT
1 - 1
RAV
8%
20%
72%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
RAV
1 - 0
SAM
76%
17%
7%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
GOZ
0 - 0
LAV
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LAV
3 - 0
CAI
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
1 - 4
LAV
13%
24%
63%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LAV
1 - 1
ASD
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SNR
0 - 2
LAV
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |