Raufoss IL vs Stabæk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
11º
9º
13
6º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 65 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 50 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 48 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 44 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 42 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 39 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 38 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
43.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raufoss IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2025 |
RAN
1 - 1
RAU
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
RAU
0 - 0
IKS
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ELP
3 - 1
RAU
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
RAU
0 - 1
EGE
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
STR
2 - 1
RAU
33%
23%
44%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2025 |
STB
4 - 3
MJO
64%
20%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
STB
4 - 0
MJO
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
ASA
1 - 1
STB
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
STB
2 - 1
HAU
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
STB
1 - 0
SKE
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |